Rising Interest Rates Historically A Positive For Equity Returns

 September 3 2015     David Templeton
The upcoming two day Federal Reserve meeting that concludes September 17th seems to have investors on edge. The million dollar questions is whether the Fed will raise rates or not. If one is a stock investor, they should hope the Fed raises rates and puts this extended anticipation to rest. Another reason investors may want to see the Fed raise rates is due to the positive impact a rate increase h...

Term Life Insurance

 September 3 2015     Anna Pfaehler
Analyzing insurance, no matter what type, starts with risk and expected loss.  You insure against events that are unlikely to happen but would be extremely costly if they do. For example, the probability of your house burning down is low but the price of replacing your home and its contents is high. So you pay a premium, a small known loss, to protect against the potential of catastrophe.&nbs...

Death Cross More Of A Buy Signal?

 September 2 2015     David Templeton
With the recent weakness in the equity markets, many stocks' and stock indices' chart patterns have traced out a death cross pattern in their moving averages. The Death Cross is a technical indication when the 50 day moving average crosses the 200 day moving average from above. As Michael Batnick of The Irrelevant Investor blog noted a few days ago, very few technical analyst use the death cross p...

Stocks Higher 10-Years From Now

 August 30 2015     David Templeton
Before the onset of the market weakness in the early part of last week and the end of the prior week, S&P Dow Jones Indices released a report highlighting rolling 10-year annualized returns for the S&P 500 Index. The report seems prompted by a response Warren Buffett made to a question on timing the market. Buffett noted he was not a market timer and simply responded, "Stocks are going to be highe...

Equity Market Recovering Like October 2014

 August 27 2015     David Templeton
On Tuesday I wrote about the bulls waiting for that elusive equity market bounce. The wait was short as the market snap back over the last two days qualifies for that bounce. Investors are likely contemplating the market's direction from here.A "V-type" pattern seems to be forming just as the market traced out late last year. As the below chart shows, the contraction from July to October of 2014 w...

Awaiting The Elusive Equity Market Bounce That Holds

 August 25 2015     David Templeton
The stock market bears have been calling for this current pullback for what seems like years. Now the bulls are looking for the elusive bounce that "holds" and signals another move higher in the market. After the close on Friday, I noted the oversold market conditions and a potential bounce that may follow. Three days into this potential "bounce" scenario, the market has failed to cooperate. This ...

Bears Awaken From Worst Nightmare

 August 24 2015     David Templeton
With today's market close the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average both are in correction territory, down 10+%. The S&P 500 Index is down 11.15% from its closing high on 5/21/2015 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 13.33% from its closing high on 5/19/2015. It is safe to say the bears have awakened from their worst nightmare as the markets moved higher, nearly unabated, for...

Nearly 70% Of S&P 500 Stocks In Correction Or Bear Market Territory

 August 23 2015     David Templeton
Last week's market pullback did not spare too many equities from the draw down. As of the close on Friday, 30.3% (152 issues) of S&P 500 stocks are now down greater than 20% from their 52-week highs and another 39.0% (196 issues) are down between 10% and 20% from their 52-week highs. In total nearly 70% of stocks are in correction or bear market territory. Below is a table noting this breakdown.Fr...

VIX Futures Curve In Backwardation, Indicative Of A Near Term Market Bounce?

 August 22 2015     David Templeton
With Friday's market sell off, the VIX curve went into steep backwardation at 4.56. VIX backwardation refers to the situation when the near-term VIX futures are more expensive than longer-term 3-month VIX futures (VXV). This is an indication traders expect volatility in the future to be lower than it is now. Historically, when this occurs, short term market rallies tend to result from this technic...

Oversold Technical Indications, Market May Be Due For A Bounce

 August 21 2015     David Templeton
The market action on the last two days of this week was not kind to equity investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 530 points today and closed the week in correction territory, i.e., down 10% from its May high. The S&P 500 Index has not reached correction territory though, down 7.5% from its closing high on May 21st.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsThe pullback this week in t...
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