Horan - Health. Wealth. Life

Near the end of October last year the S&P 500 Index moved into a sideways trading range that has seen the market move back and forth between 1,975 and 2,093. Then on December 19, a spike in up volume occurred that created the top of this trading range. Subsequent to this capitulation buying the market has struggled to recapture this December high mark with the market trading action forming a rising bearish wedge pattern. A rising wedge pattern tends to resolve itself with a market that breaks to...  Read more...
The US Dollar has been on a strengthening trajectory since early 2011 and more so since mid year last year. This move in the Dollar has been a headwind for U.S. domiciled multinational companies earnings, with many firms citing this as a reason for earnings disappointment during this earnings reporting season.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsOne belief is investors can avoid this negative currency impact within their investment portfolio by focusing more on small company stocks since small...  Read more...

The S&P 500 Index Nearing A Technical Bounce Level?

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, February 01, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
The month of January was not kind to U.S. equity investors. The S&P 500 Index ended the month down 3.00% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 3.58%. The small cap and mid cap indices did not fare much better. On the surface, European equities appeared to be a bright spot with the S&P Europe 350 Index up 7.27%. However, for a U.S. investor not hedging the Euro/Dollar currency exchange, virtually all of this gain was lost in the currency translation back to the Dollar. The S&P Europe 350 ...  Read more...

How To Profit From An Increase In Oil Prices When It Occurs

Posted by David Templeton on Thursday, January 29, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
One investment vehicle that may seem appropriate for participating in an eventual rise in crude oil prices is to invest in an ETF that directly tracks crude oil itself. One such ETF is the United States Oil ETF, ticker USO. There are many others that can be found here. However, investors should be aware that many of these ETFs gain crude oil exposure using futures contracts. Consequently, the ETFs using futures will not track oil prices directly. Several key points investors should be aware of r...  Read more...

Investor Letter Winter 2014: Expectations In The Coming Year

Posted by David Templeton on Saturday, January 24, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
We recently published our final Investor Letter for 2014. In the letter we take a look at the market and economy in 2014 and our outlook for 2015. As we comment in the newsletter, investors will be faced with a number of issues in 2015, oil price volatility, currency issues, stimulus programs around the world, just to name a few factors. January has already started with market volatility that me be unsettling to investors. For further insight into our views for 2015, our Investor Letter can be a...  Read more...

Bullish Sentiment Declines But Not At An Extreme Level

Posted by David Templeton on Thursday, January 22, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
The American Association of Individual Investors released their Sentiment Survey results for the week ending 1/21/2015. Bullish sentiment declined nine percentage points to 37.1% with all of the change going to the bearish camp. Bearish sentiment increased 9+ percentage points. As the below chart shows, this places the bullish sentiment near the average for this reading. Investors should keep in mind this contrarian sentiment indicator is most predictive of future market direction when readings ...  Read more...
Since the end of the financial crisis, or better yet, the market bottom in March 2009, weekly market declines for the S&P 500 Index lasting four consecutive weeks or longer have been a somewhat rare occurrence. The most recent string of four consecutive weekly declines occurred the week of September 22, 2014 through the week of October 13, 2014. Prior to this 2014 four week decline, the last string of four consecutive weekly declines occurred in 2011 (7/25/2011 - 8/15/2011). Since the beginning ...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine: A Central Bank Throws In The Towel

Posted by David Templeton on Monday, January 19, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
Investors paying attention to the market last week witnessed something they may not see for the balance of their lives. The Swiss National Bank's surprise announcement that it would no longer try to maintain the Swiss Franc's currency peg resulted in the Franc/Euro exchange rate falling nearly 30% in a single day. In actuality, the collapse occurred within seconds of the announcement. This type of currency move speaks volumes about the unintended consequences of the quantitative easing programs ...  Read more...

Hyman & Kim: U.S. Pulling Global Economies

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, January 18, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
One comment mentioned of late is the U.S. economy may be decoupling from the rest of the world economies. In Part 2 of Ed Hyman's and John Kim's interview (Part I of Interview) with Consuelo Mack on Wealthtrack, both Hyman and Kim believe it is not possible for the U.S. economy to decouple from the rest of the world at this point in time. The globalization of trade and manufacturing has created an interconnectedness that will be difficult to break. Both Hyman and Kim believe, however, that the e...  Read more...

Shale Oil And Gas Production Projected To Increase In February

Posted by David Templeton on Saturday, January 17, 2015 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
The battle between OPEC and shale fracking producers has pushed the price of oil down to levels unthinkable just a year ago. Both parties seem unwilling to reduce production to levels that would stem the decline in oil prices. This lower price level is certainly placing financial stress on a number of drillers and leveraged fracking companies as noted in the article, Money Dries Up for Oil and Gas, Layoffs Spread, Write-Offs Start.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsIn spite of the apparent d...  Read more...
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