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Achieving Excess Returns Around FOMC Meetings

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 31, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
David Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Dow Jones Indices, recently highlighted research results showing excess returns are generated around FOMC meeting dates. The research paper, Stock Returns Over The FOMC Cycle, evaluates the average 5-day return minus the treasury bill rate. The paper shows statistically significant excess returns are generated in the five day period in advance of the FOMC announcement.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: Stock Returns Over The FOMC...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine: August 24, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 24, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
This past week saw the S&P 500 Index set a record closing price of 1,992.37 on Thursday. One article in this week's magazine notes the equity market has gone over 1,020 days without a 10% correction. Investors seem content on buying market "dips". This most recent dip saw the market decline 3.94% from its July 24th closing price down to 1,909.57 on August 7th. The "V-shaped" recovery from August 7th has seen the market advance 4.3% to Friday's close.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsThe onl...  Read more...
Almost two weeks ago we noted the S&P 500 Index appeared to look more attractive from a technical perspective. Since the market reached a near term low of 1,909.57 on August 7th, the S&P 500 Index has rallied 4.13% through Friday to close at 1,988.40. In addition to a positive technical perspective at that time, recent economic and company reports indicate potential strength ahead. In looking at several economic factors, last week's report on The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index showed ...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine For August 17, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 17, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
After the market's close this past Tuesday we wrote a post discussing how the market technicals had turned more positive and the market did not disappoint. For this past week the equity market did turn higher with the major U.S. indices posting weekly gains. The standout was the Nasdaq Composite Index returning 2.2% and now up 6.9% on the year. The much watched small cap index, the Russell 2000, managed to generate a gain of .9%; however, the index remains down 1.9% year to date. Last week's new...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine For August 17, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 17, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
After the market's close this past Tuesday we wrote a post discussing how the market technicals had turned more positive and the market did not disappoint. For this past week the equity market did turn higher with the major U.S. indices posting weekly gains. The standout was the Nasdaq Composite Index returning 2.2% and now up 6.9% on the year. The much watched small cap index, the Russell 2000, managed to generate a gain of .9%; however, the index remains down 1.9% year to date. Last week's new...  Read more...

Market Technicals Turn More Positive

Posted by David Templeton on Wednesday, August 13, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
Short term technicals for the S&P 500 Index have turned more positive after the market's recent pullback. As the below chart shows, the 100 day moving average has served as important support for the market over the past year and a half. Each time the market has experienced a pullback, the market has managed to bounce off of the 100 day moving average line. Additionally, the full stochastic oscillator has begun to turn higher from an oversold level. The vertical dotted lines on the chart display ...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine For August 10, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Monday, August 11, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
Last week saw the market's trading action gravitate from positive to negative during the week until Friday. The chart to the right shows the daily changes in various market indices with Friday's sharp bounce back. A question for this week will be whether last Friday's trading bounce signals a bottom in the market's recent decline.Today pre-market futures are indicating a positive start to the trading week. This comes on the heals of positive market performance in global markets on Monday. One ar...  Read more...

Bond Funds Continue To See Inflows

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 10, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
Last week's mostly negative market, until the sharp recovery on Friday, continues to negatively influence investor's market sentiment. Last week's American Association of Individual Investors reported bullish investor sentiment fell slightly to 30.9%. This bullishness level is nearly nine percentage points below the long term average of 39%.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: AAIIAn interesting factor reported in the Sentiment Survey was the 7.1% increase in bearish sentiment to 38.2%...  Read more...
Almost a year and a half ago the Bank of Japan stated it would embark on a massive stimulus plan, i.e., quantitative easing, that would amount to the equivalent of $107 billion US dollars. Many strategists have taken a positive view of this effort by Japan to stimulate the country's economy. The near term, immediate impact to Japan's stock market at that time, the Nikkei 225 Index, was a dramatic move to the upside. As the below chart shows (two year time frame), the Nikkei was up over 80% from ...  Read more...

Why To Invest In Stocks

Posted by David Templeton on Wednesday, August 06, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
I wrote an article this past weekend that provided a link to an interview with Jason Trennert conduct by Consuelo Mack of WealthTrack. The theme of the interview and the post is the belief there currently is no alternative for investors other than stocks. My article was republished on Seeking Alpha and a reader responded with several comments and questions. I responded to his questions and the reader thought the response was worthy of an article of its own. Below are the reader's questions/comme...  Read more...
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