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Current Stock Rally Below Average In Magnitude

Posted by David Templeton on Wednesday, September 03, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
"With the S&P 500 trading above 2,000 for the first time in history, today's chart provides some perspective to current rally by plotting all major S&P 500 rallies of the last 82 years. With the S&P 500 up 91% since its October 2011 lows (the 2011 correction resulted in a significant 19.4% decline), the current rally is slightly below average in magnitude above average in duration. In fact, of the 23 rallies plotted on today's chart, the current rally would rank 7th in duration."Notes:- A major ...  Read more...

Dividend Payers' Return Lags Non Payers In August

Posted by David Templeton on Tuesday, September 02, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
The equal weighted return of the dividend payers in the S&P 500 Index continues to lag the return of the non payers in August. As a consolation though, the payers equal weighted return is ahead of the cap weighted S&P 500 Index on a YTD and 12-month basis.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: S&P Dow Jones IndicesThis equal weighted outperformance of the non-payers has carried over into the performance of Guggenheim's equal weighted S&P 500 Index (RSP) versus the cap weighted S&P Index ...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine: August 31, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Monday, September 01, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
The strong equity returns in the just completed month of August prove historical expectations do not always play out as the data might suggest. As we noted in our post just before August began, Is This The Much Awaited Market Pullback?, the average August return for the past 10 years has been negative.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsWith the strong August returns several market pundits are reiterating their often repeated call for a major market correction. A correction would not surprise...  Read more...

Achieving Excess Returns Around FOMC Meetings

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 31, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
David Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Dow Jones Indices, recently highlighted research results showing excess returns are generated around FOMC meeting dates. The research paper, Stock Returns Over The FOMC Cycle, evaluates the average 5-day return minus the treasury bill rate. The paper shows statistically significant excess returns are generated in the five day period in advance of the FOMC announcement.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: Stock Returns Over The FOMC...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine: August 24, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 24, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
This past week saw the S&P 500 Index set a record closing price of 1,992.37 on Thursday. One article in this week's magazine notes the equity market has gone over 1,020 days without a 10% correction. Investors seem content on buying market "dips". This most recent dip saw the market decline 3.94% from its July 24th closing price down to 1,909.57 on August 7th. The "V-shaped" recovery from August 7th has seen the market advance 4.3% to Friday's close.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsThe onl...  Read more...
Almost two weeks ago we noted the S&P 500 Index appeared to look more attractive from a technical perspective. Since the market reached a near term low of 1,909.57 on August 7th, the S&P 500 Index has rallied 4.13% through Friday to close at 1,988.40. In addition to a positive technical perspective at that time, recent economic and company reports indicate potential strength ahead. In looking at several economic factors, last week's report on The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index showed ...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine For August 17, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 17, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
After the market's close this past Tuesday we wrote a post discussing how the market technicals had turned more positive and the market did not disappoint. For this past week the equity market did turn higher with the major U.S. indices posting weekly gains. The standout was the Nasdaq Composite Index returning 2.2% and now up 6.9% on the year. The much watched small cap index, the Russell 2000, managed to generate a gain of .9%; however, the index remains down 1.9% year to date. Last week's new...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine For August 17, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Sunday, August 17, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
After the market's close this past Tuesday we wrote a post discussing how the market technicals had turned more positive and the market did not disappoint. For this past week the equity market did turn higher with the major U.S. indices posting weekly gains. The standout was the Nasdaq Composite Index returning 2.2% and now up 6.9% on the year. The much watched small cap index, the Russell 2000, managed to generate a gain of .9%; however, the index remains down 1.9% year to date. Last week's new...  Read more...

Market Technicals Turn More Positive

Posted by David Templeton on Wednesday, August 13, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
Short term technicals for the S&P 500 Index have turned more positive after the market's recent pullback. As the below chart shows, the 100 day moving average has served as important support for the market over the past year and a half. Each time the market has experienced a pullback, the market has managed to bounce off of the 100 day moving average line. Additionally, the full stochastic oscillator has begun to turn higher from an oversold level. The vertical dotted lines on the chart display ...  Read more...

Week Ahead Magazine For August 10, 2014

Posted by David Templeton on Monday, August 11, 2014 in Wealth Management | Comments (0)
Last week saw the market's trading action gravitate from positive to negative during the week until Friday. The chart to the right shows the daily changes in various market indices with Friday's sharp bounce back. A question for this week will be whether last Friday's trading bounce signals a bottom in the market's recent decline.Today pre-market futures are indicating a positive start to the trading week. This comes on the heals of positive market performance in global markets on Monday. One ar...  Read more...
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